Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
ActiveLiquidity $59.2K·Volume $11.2K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over52%Under49%
Smart money leans
Over
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+2.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price54%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,500 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,029
72h +$3,029
Smart money entered51¢52¢at 18:48(2% priced in)Edge left+2.2ppLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 5h 11m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$59.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $1,500 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 2% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,500 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,029, +$3,029 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | sportlikelyMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $1,537 |
| 4h ago | sportlikelyMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $1,500 |