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Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)

ActiveLiquidity $27.1K·Volume $101.9K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Nuggets61%Pelicans40%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:47computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Pelicans
40% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.4pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
40%price40%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$960 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,185
72h +$1,185
Smart money entered37¢40¢at 11:47(37% priced in)Edge left+0.4ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 11h 12m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$27.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Pelicans", with $960 riding on it.

The price of 40% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 37¢; the price was 40¢ at this snapshot — roughly 37% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $960 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,185, +$1,185 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:47
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans36¢$36
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
2h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans36¢$36
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$32
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$2
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$3
3h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyPelicans37¢$37