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Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)

ActiveLiquidity $34.1K·Volume $6,213·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Nuggets100%Pelicans0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:43computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Nuggets
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,227
72h +$5,227
Smart money entered73¢100¢at 06:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$34.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Nuggets", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,227, +$5,227 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5h agomicky456MidBuyNuggets93¢$302
7h agoEthanael02MidBuyNuggets71¢$3,500
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans28¢$10
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans28¢$10
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11
22h ago0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871MidBuyPelicans30¢$11