Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
ActiveLiquidity $34.1K·Volume $6,213·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Nuggets100%Pelicans0%
Smart money leans
Nuggets
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,227
72h +$5,227
Smart money entered73¢100¢at 06:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$34.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Nuggets", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,227, +$5,227 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 93¢ | $302 |
| 7h ago | Ethanael02Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 71¢ | $3,500 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 28¢ | $10 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 28¢ | $10 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |
| 22h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 30¢ | $11 |