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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5

ActiveLiquidity $101.5K·Volume $20.3K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over50%Under51%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:47computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Under
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.6pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,020
72h +$1,020
Smart money entered50¢51¢at 15:47(11% priced in)Edge left+0.6ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 8h 13m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$101.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Not enough history yet
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 11% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,020, +$1,020 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 15:47
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agopm13333MidBuyUnder50¢$792
1h agopm13333MidBuyUnder50¢$184
1h agopm13333MidBuyUnder50¢$23
1h agopm13333MidBuyUnder50¢$2