Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
ActiveLiquidity $101.5K·Volume $20.3K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over50%Under51%
Smart money leans
Under
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.6pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,020
72h +$1,020
Smart money entered50¢51¢at 15:47(11% priced in)Edge left+0.6ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 8h 13m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$101.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 11% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,020, +$1,020 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.