Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
ActiveLiquidity $106.4K·Volume $6,580·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Nuggets47%Grizzlies54%
Smart money leans
Nuggets
46% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$476 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$531
72h +$531
Smart money entered46¢46¢at 21:51(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 2h 8m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$106.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Nuggets", with $476 riding on it.
The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $476 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$531, +$531 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $184 |
| 5h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $39 |
| 5h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $39 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $85 |
| 7h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $24 |
| 7h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Nuggets | 46¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 47¢ | $40 |