Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
ActiveLiquidity $84.7K·Volume $7,158·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Nuggets52%Grizzlies49%
Smart money leans
Nuggets
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,972 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,736
72h +$3,736
Smart money entered52¢52¢at 15:31(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 8h 29m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$84.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Nuggets", with $2,972 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,972 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,736, +$3,736 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $274 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $27 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $542 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $542 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $38 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $577 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $1,230 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $16 |
| 4h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $27 |
| 4h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $218 |
| 5h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Nuggets | 52¢ | $218 |
| 5h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 48¢ | $40 |