Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $456.9K·Volume $5,077·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Nuggets69%Grizzlies31%
Smart money leans
Grizzlies
29% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.6pp
model below price
Consensus
65%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
29%price28%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$16.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$32.8K
72h +$32.8K
Smart money entered46¢29¢at 01:50Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$456.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Grizzlies", with $16.6K riding on it.
The price of 29% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 29¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$32.8K, +$32.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Grizzlies | 25¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 54¢ | $6,991 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 54¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 54¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 54¢ | $7,095 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 54¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 54¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 44¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Nuggets | 55¢ | $21 |