Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
ActiveLiquidity $34.8K·Volume $8,004·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Nuggets59%Grizzlies42%
Smart money leans
Grizzlies
41% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price41%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$148 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$19
72h +$294
Smart money entered41¢41¢at 00:58(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy17h agoResolvesin 23h 2m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$34.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Grizzlies", with $148 riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $148 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$19, +$294 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $10 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $10 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $15 |
| 17h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $15 |
| 18h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $3 |
| 20h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $3 |
| 21h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $12 |
| 21h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $12 |
| 22h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $0 |
| 22h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $0 |
| 23h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 60¢ | $173 |
| 23h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 60¢ | $173 |
| 23h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $6 |
| 23h ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 60¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 60¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 60¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Nuggets | 60¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | AmphibiousCaldwellPopeMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 39¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 40¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | OddstormMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 42¢ | $147 |
| 1d ago | OddstormMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 42¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | OddstormMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 42¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 43¢ | $122 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 43¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Grizzlies | 43¢ | $3 |