Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
ActiveLiquidity $118.0K·Volume $39.0K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Timberwolves53%Mavericks47%
Smart money leans
Mavericks
48% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$462 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$466
72h +$466
Smart money entered47¢48¢at 17:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 6h 12m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$118.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Mavericks", with $462 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $462 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$466, +$466 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $23 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $69 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $348 |
| 13h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Timberwolves | 50¢ | $2 |