Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
ActiveLiquidity $247.8K·Volume $18.9K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Mavericks0%Cavaliers100%
Smart money leans
Cavaliers
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$4,634 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$35.9K
72h +$35.9K
Smart money entered53¢100¢at 05:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$247.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Cavaliers", with $4,634 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$35.9K, +$35.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 17¢ | $52 |
| 5h ago | luckycat888888Top | Buy | Cavaliers | 54¢ | $5,390 |
| 5h ago | luckycat888888Top | Buy | Cavaliers | 54¢ | $5,390 |
| 5h ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 43¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 43¢ | $18 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 48¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 48¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 48¢ | $1,497 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 48¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | Bagwell306Mid | Buy | Cavaliers | 51¢ | $255 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $7 |
| 8h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 47¢ | $7 |
| 8h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 56¢ | $2,635 |
| 8h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 57¢ | $2,835 |
| 8h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 57¢ | $1,606 |