Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
ActiveLiquidity $49.3K·Volume $5,361·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over45%Under56%
Smart money leans
Under
56% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
56%price56%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,047 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,201
72h +$2,201
Smart money entered53¢56¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 3h 9m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$49.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $2,047 riding on it.
The price of 56% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 56¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,047 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,201, +$2,201 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $2,017 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $59 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 55¢ | $134 |
| 6h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 55¢ | $134 |