Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
ActiveLiquidity $73.1K·Volume $6,059·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over51%Under50%
Smart money leans
Under
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,633 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,248
72h +$5,248
Smart money entered52¢50¢at 15:53(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 6h 7m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$73.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $3,633 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,633 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,248, +$5,248 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $1,632 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $1,632 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $14 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 50¢ | $683 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $6 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $12 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $2 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $9 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $1 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $4 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 44¢ | $1 |
| 12h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 55¢ | $1,518 |