Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
ActiveLiquidity $65.5K·Volume $4,756·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Celtics49%Mavericks52%
Smart money leans
Mavericks
53% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
53%price53%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$202 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,996
72h +$6,996
Smart money entered53¢53¢at 18:50(5% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 3h 9m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$65.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Mavericks", with $202 riding on it.
The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 5% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,996, +$6,996 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Celtics | 48¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Celtics | 48¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Celtics | 49¢ | $2,270 |
| 1h ago | sportmaster777Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 53¢ | $351 |
| 1h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Mavericks | 53¢ | $1,983 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 53¢ | $2,517 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 52¢ | $1,756 |
| 8h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 51¢ | $50 |
| 14h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 53¢ | $152 |
| 14h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 53¢ | $152 |