Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
ActiveLiquidity $61.7K·Volume $8,201·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Celtics50%Mavericks50%
Smart money leans
Mavericks
50% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$5,558 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,736
72h +$8,736
Smart money entered49¢50¢at 15:53(51% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 6h 7m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$61.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Mavericks", with $5,558 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 51% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,558 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,736, +$8,736 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $150 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $150 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 51¢ | $2,513 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 50¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 49¢ | $634 |
| 2h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 49¢ | $634 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 48¢ | $2,370 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 48¢ | $2,370 |