Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
ActiveLiquidity $57.9K·Volume $5,035·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Celtics56%Mavericks44%
Smart money leans
Celtics
56% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
68%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
56%price56%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,883 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,962
72h +$3,962
Smart money entered55¢56¢at 18:50Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 3h 9m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$57.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Celtics", with $3,883 riding on it.
The price of 56% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 56¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $3,883 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,962, +$3,962 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 43¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Celtics | 56¢ | $1,618 |
| 1h ago | 0x842c81e145739b68a20192c619419bd51f401871Mid | Buy | Celtics | 55¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Celtics | 55¢ | $2,556 |
| 1h ago | hi774cMid | Buy | Mavericks | 45¢ | $1,267 |
| 1h ago | sportmaster777Mid | Buy | Mavericks | 45¢ | $252 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 44¢ | $197 |
| 1h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Celtics | 53¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 45¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 44¢ | $52 |
| 10h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 44¢ | $1 |
| 10h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Mavericks | 44¢ | $1 |