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Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $139.0K·Volume $99.9K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Knicks52%Cavaliers49%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Cavaliers
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.4pp
model above price
Consensus
57%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$13.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$18.6K
72h +$18.6K
Smart money entered52¢51¢at 21:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.4ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 1h 8m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$139.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Cavaliers", with $13.1K riding on it.

The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$18.6K, +$18.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers51¢$3
2h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCavaliers51¢$26
2h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCavaliers51¢$26
2h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCavaliers51¢$14
2h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCavaliers51¢$14
3h agobetabotMidSellCavaliers52¢$29
3h agobetabotMidSellCavaliers52¢$55
3h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers52¢$3
3h agobetabotMidSellCavaliers52¢$1,313
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks48¢$468
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks48¢$468
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks47¢$177
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks47¢$177
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks47¢$305
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers53¢$3
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks47¢$305
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers53¢$3
4h agoCAcapMidBuyKnicks46¢$2
4h agoCAcapMidBuyKnicks47¢$2
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks48¢$789
4h ago0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MidBuyCavaliers52¢$9,223
4h agoCAcapMidBuyKnicks48¢$2
4h ago739633786MidBuyKnicks48¢$627
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers52¢$3
4h agoCAcapMidBuyKnicks47¢$2
4h ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyKnicks47¢$12
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers52¢$3
4h agoRLWGMidBuyKnicks48¢$19
4h agoCAcapMidBuyKnicks49¢$2
4h agoRLWGMidBuyKnicks48¢$2
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCavaliers50¢$3
4h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks50¢$2,232
4h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCavaliers50¢$40
4h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyKnicks50¢$2,232
4h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCavaliers50¢$40
4h agoCAcapMidBuyKnicks50¢$3
4h agoSnakeBallMidBuyKnicks50¢$40
4h agobetabotMidBuyCavaliers52¢$5,600
4h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$1,956
4h agobetabotMidBuyCavaliers52¢$5,600
4h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$1,956
5h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$38
5h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$128
6h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$113
6h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$17
6h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$17
7h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$290
7h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$200
8h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$5
10h agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyKnicks50¢$12