Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $87.1K·Volume $12.1K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Knicks61%Cavaliers40%
Smart money leans
Cavaliers
44% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
77%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
44%price44%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$351 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$376
72h +$376
Smart money entered41¢44¢at 21:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 1h 8m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$87.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Cavaliers", with $351 riding on it.
The price of 44% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 44¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $351 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$376, +$376 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 44¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 45¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 46¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Knicks | 55¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Knicks | 57¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Knicks | 57¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Knicks | 56¢ | $40 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Knicks | 57¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Knicks | 57¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | SnakeBallMid | Buy | Knicks | 56¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 42¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 41¢ | $351 |