Spread: Heat (-3.5)
ActiveLiquidity $654.4K·Volume $1,396·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Heat100%Cavaliers0%
Smart money leans
Heat
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,371
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$654.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Heat", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,371 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x543b…6c81Mid | Buy | Heat | 100¢ | $4,029 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Cavaliers | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Cavaliers | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Heat | 90¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 10¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Heat | 90¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | shoemanhereTop | Buy | Heat | 72¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | shoemanhereTop | Buy | Heat | 72¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Heat | 87¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Cavaliers | 13¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Cavaliers | 13¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Heat | 80¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | micky456Mid | Buy | Cavaliers | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | LeonDkMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 54¢ | $1,703 |
| 1d ago | LeonDkMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 54¢ | $1,703 |
| 1d ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Cavaliers | 55¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Heat | 45¢ | $143 |