James Harden: Points O/U 17.5
ActiveLiquidity $1,886·Volume $4,907·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes50%No50%
Smart money leans
No
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.5pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$990 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,980
72h +$1,980
Smart money entered52¢50¢at 01:52(0% priced in)Edge left+1.5ppLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$1,886
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $990 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $990 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,980, +$1,980 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27 |
| 9h ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27 |
| 10h ago | 0x3822028fC1c17B00DD2f84846F91c14B996CBFe6-1778488989186Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $1,040 |
| 10h ago | 0x3822028fC1c17B00DD2f84846F91c14B996CBFe6-1778488989186Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $1,040 |