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James Harden: Points O/U 17.5

ActiveLiquidity $1,886·Volume $4,907·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes50%No50%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.5pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$990 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,980
72h +$1,980
Smart money entered52¢50¢at 01:52(0% priced in)Edge left+1.5ppLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$1,886
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $990 riding on it.

The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $990 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,980, +$1,980 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
9h ago0x6dd9…bfe8MidBuyYes49¢$27
9h ago0x6dd9…bfe8MidBuyYes49¢$27
10h ago0x3822028fC1c17B00DD2f84846F91c14B996CBFe6-1778488989186MidBuyNo52¢$1,040
10h ago0x3822028fC1c17B00DD2f84846F91c14B996CBFe6-1778488989186MidBuyNo52¢$1,040