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Spread: Celtics (-4.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $92.6K·Volume $31.0K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Celtics54%Raptors47%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:51computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Celtics
55% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,063 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,073
72h +$1,073
Smart money entered54¢55¢at 21:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 1h 8m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$92.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Celtics", with $1,063 riding on it.

The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,063 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,073, +$1,073 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:51
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h agoCAcapMidBuyRaptors45¢$2
4h agoCAcapMidBuyRaptors46¢$2
4h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyCeltics54¢$1,028
4h agoCAcapMidBuyRaptors47¢$2
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCeltics52¢$3
4h agoCAcapMidBuyRaptors48¢$2
4h agoCAcapMidBuyRaptors48¢$2
4h agoCAcapMidBuyCeltics53¢$3
5h agoSnakeBallMidBuyRaptors45¢$3
5h agoCAcapMidBuyCeltics55¢$3
5h agoCAcapMidBuyCeltics55¢$3
5h agoCAcapMidBuyCeltics56¢$3
5h agoSnakeBallMidBuyCeltics56¢$40