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Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5

ActiveLiquidity $18.2K·Volume $4,563·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes49%No51%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:54computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.5pp
model above price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,296 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,755
72h +$1,755
Smart money entered67¢52¢at 00:54(0% priced in)Edge left+0.5ppLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$18.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,296 riding on it.

The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,296 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,755, +$1,755 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:54
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
8h agobetabotMidBuyNo95¢$12
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$67
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$31
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$59
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$59
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$19
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$19
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo66¢$71
9h agobetabotMidBuyNo66¢$71
10h agobetabotMidBuyNo65¢$86
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$75
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$28
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$28
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$28
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$28
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$13
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$13
11h agoRLWGMidBuyYes33¢$2
11h agoRLWGMidBuyYes33¢$2
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$405
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$405
11h agoRLWGMidBuyYes33¢$2
11h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$379
12h agobetabotMidBuyNo64¢$17
12h agobetabotMidBuyNo64¢$10
12h agobetabotMidBuyNo67¢$119
12h agoRLWGMidBuyYes33¢$2
12h agobetabotMidBuyNo64¢$224