Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5
ActiveLiquidity $18.2K·Volume $4,563·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes49%No51%
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.5pp
model above price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,296 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,755
72h +$1,755
Smart money entered67¢52¢at 00:54(0% priced in)Edge left+0.5ppLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$18.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,296 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,296 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,755, +$1,755 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $67 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $31 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $59 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $59 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $19 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $19 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $71 |
| 9h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $71 |
| 10h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $86 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $75 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $28 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $28 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $28 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $28 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $13 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $13 |
| 11h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 11h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $405 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $405 |
| 11h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 11h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $379 |
| 12h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $17 |
| 12h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $10 |
| 12h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $119 |
| 12h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 12h ago | betabotMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $224 |