Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
ActiveLiquidity $87.5K·Volume $70.0K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Pelicans47%Nets54%
Smart money leans
Pelicans
47% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
47%price47%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,628 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,899
72h +$1,899
Smart money entered50¢47¢at 18:16(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 5h 43m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$87.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Pelicans", with $1,628 riding on it.
The price of 47% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 47¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,628 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,899, +$1,899 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Nets | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Nets | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Nets | 52¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Nets | 52¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 48¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 48¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Pelicans | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 49¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Pelicans | 49¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 49¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 49¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 51¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 50¢ | $1,132 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 50¢ | $107 |
| 3h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 50¢ | $207 |
| 3h ago | CAcapMid | Buy | Pelicans | 51¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 50¢ | $30 |
| 8h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 50¢ | $274 |
| 8h ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Pelicans | 50¢ | $274 |