Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
ActiveLiquidity $76.4K·Volume $28.8K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Over53%Under48%
Smart money leans
Under
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,014 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,694
72h +$2,694
Smart money entered48¢48¢at 14:44(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 9h 16m(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$76.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $2,014 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,014 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,694, +$2,694 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $763 |
| 3h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $763 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $1,382 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $367 |
| 4h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Under | 48¢ | $357 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $199 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $199 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $136 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 51¢ | $136 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 49¢ | $0 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 49¢ | $0 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $120 |
| 11h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Over | 48¢ | $120 |