Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?
ActiveLiquidity $9,697·Volume $16.1K·Ends Nov 21, 2026
Price now:Yes7%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$649 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢94¢at 06:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 10d(Nov 21, 2026)Liquidity$9,697
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $649 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $649 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $11 |
| 4d ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $694 |
| 3w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $14 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 63¢ | $133 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 68¢ | $94 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $107 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $8 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 58¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 66¢ | $103 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $51 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $312 |