Game 4: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?
ActiveLiquidity $451.4K·Volume $43.8K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over100%Under0%
Smart money leans
Over
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,761
72h +$6,761
Smart money entered83¢100¢at 05:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$451.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,761, +$6,761 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0xfe02…be9dMid | Buy | Over | 64¢ | $640 |
| 7h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $23 |
| 7h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $185 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $61 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $13 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $21 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $244 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Sell | Over | 61¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 58¢ | $4 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 58¢ | $57 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 58¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $280 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $280 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $97 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $97 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $99 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $97 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $357 |
| 8h ago | 7ViziCapitaleMid | Buy | Over | 56¢ | $349 |