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Game 3: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?

ActiveLiquidity $95.2K·Volume $26.6K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over99%Under1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:56computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Over
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,059
72h +$1,059
Smart money entered100¢99¢at 05:56(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$95.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,059, +$1,059 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:56
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$12
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$59
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$9
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$185
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$1
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$11
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$9
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$55
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$1
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$3
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$59
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$37
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$59
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$28
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$59
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$1
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$2
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$6
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$1
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$2
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$6
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$10
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$6
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$3
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$8
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$2
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$3
8h agorafaleaooMidBuyUnder37¢$55
11h agoxiaxxxxMidBuyUnder47¢$241