Game 3: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?
ActiveLiquidity $95.2K·Volume $26.6K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over99%Under1%
Smart money leans
Over
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,059
72h +$1,059
Smart money entered100¢99¢at 05:56(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$95.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,059, +$1,059 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $12 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $59 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $9 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $185 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $11 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $9 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $55 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $59 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $37 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $59 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $28 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $59 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $8 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | rafaleaooMid | Buy | Under | 37¢ | $55 |
| 11h ago | xiaxxxxMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $241 |