Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $4,403·Volume $10.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$473 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢97¢at 07:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,403
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $473 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $473 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $76 |
| 3d ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $108 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $290 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $901 |
| 4w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $19 |