Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,155·Volume $4,518·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$459 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢99¢at 07:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$3,155
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $459 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $459 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $28 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $159 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $70 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $30 |
| 6w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $11 |
| 6w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $105 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $26 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $28 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $16 |