Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
ActiveLiquidity $16.1K·Volume $215.2K·Ends Oct 10, 2026
Price now:Yes31%No70%
Smart money leans
Yes
31% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
31%price31%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$17.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered33¢31¢at 14:39(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppSignal age30dResolvesended(Oct 10, 2026)Liquidity$16.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $17.3K riding on it.
The price of 31% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 33¢; the price was 31¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $17.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | Kyn008Mid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $18,692 |