Will Justin Herbert have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $156·Volume $3,199·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes22%No78%
Smart money leans
No
78% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
78%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$469 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered68¢78¢at 05:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$156
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $469 riding on it.
The price of 78% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 78¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $469 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $444 |
| 2w ago | crckrMid | Sell | No | 71¢ | $42 |
| 2w ago | crckrMid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $23 |
| 4w ago | crckrMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $9 |
| 12w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 33¢ | $33 |