Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 19, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$4,823 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,671
72h +$9,863
Smart money entered94¢96¢at 01:41Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesin 8d(Nov 19, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $4,823 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $4,823 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,671, +$9,863 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $4,735 |
| 14h ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $4,735 |
| 14h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $297 |
| 14h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $62 |
| 15h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $12 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 17h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 18h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 19h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 19h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 19h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $62 |