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Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?

ActiveLiquidity $606·Volume $6,435·Ends Nov 9, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No4%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:16computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,456 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$216
72h +$2,730
Smart money entered94¢96¢at 07:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesended(Nov 9, 2026)Liquidity$606
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,456 riding on it.

The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,456 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$216, +$2,730 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:16
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
15h agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$178
17h agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$19
17h agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$19
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$105
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$105
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$57
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$57
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes97¢$126
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes97¢$126
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes95¢$136
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes95¢$136
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes95¢$5
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes95¢$47
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes95¢$47
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes93¢$166
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes93¢$166
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes93¢$19
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes93¢$19
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes92¢$337
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes92¢$337
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes94¢$134
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes94¢$134
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes97¢$49
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes92¢$18
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes92¢$18
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$61
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes96¢$61
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$1
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$45
3d agoviniiTopSellNo21¢$12
4d agoviniiTopBuyNo19¢$7
4d agoviniiTopBuyYes79¢$198
4d agoviniiTopBuyNo15¢$105