Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $1,264·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$713
72h +$713
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 06:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$1,264
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$713, +$713 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $119 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $199 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $80 |