Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?
ActiveLiquidity $377·Volume $50.0K·Ends Oct 16, 2026
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$313 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$286
Smart money entered86¢73¢at 07:12(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Oct 16, 2026)Liquidity$377
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $313 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $313 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$286 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $372 |
| 3d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $223 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $125 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $90 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $55 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $77 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $76 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $31 |