Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $29.7K·Volume $389·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$691
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:26(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$29.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$691 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $42 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $147 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $194 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $62 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $62 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $38 |
| 3d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $3 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $93 |