Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $34·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes39%No61%
Smart money leans
No
54% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
54%price54%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$109 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$277
72h +$277
Smart money entered56¢54¢at 10:08(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$34
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $109 riding on it.
The price of 54% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 54¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $109 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$277, +$277 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 55¢ | $61 |
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 55¢ | $61 |
| 3h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 56¢ | $104 |
| 3h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 56¢ | $104 |
| 4h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 58¢ | $6 |
| 4h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 58¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 58¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 58¢ | $6 |
| 4h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 58¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 58¢ | $3 |