Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $34·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes46%No54%
Smart money leans
Yes
43% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
43%price43%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$123 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$334
72h +$334
Smart money entered32¢43¢at 10:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$34
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $123 riding on it.
The price of 43% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 32¢; the price was 43¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $123 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$334, +$334 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $72 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $72 |
| 3h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $51 |
| 3h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $51 |