Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $659·Volume $33·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,025
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$659
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,025 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,446 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xae5b…ab1bMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $150 |
| 3d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $88 |
| 3d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $93 |