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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?

ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes—No—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:33computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$494 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$69
72h +$830
Smart money entered26¢0.0¢at 05:33Edge leftnoneLast smart buy22h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $494 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $494 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$69, +$830 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
22h agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes34¢$60
22h agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes34¢$60
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes30¢$60
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes30¢$60
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes28¢$52
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes28¢$52
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes31¢$60
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes31¢$60
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes28¢$48
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes28¢$52
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes28¢$52
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes23¢$59
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes23¢$59
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes26¢$1
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes26¢$43
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes26¢$3
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes26¢$5
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes27¢$21
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes21¢$1
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes20¢$2
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes18¢$1
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes16¢$1
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyYes16¢$1
1d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyYes14¢$31
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopSellNo87¢$12
1d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopSellNo86¢$7
2d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyNo81¢$5
2d agoOnlyLuckNoBrainTopBuyNo81¢$12