Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes—No—
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$494 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$69
72h +$830
Smart money entered26¢0.0¢at 05:33Edge leftnoneLast smart buy22h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $494 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $494 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$69, +$830 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $60 |
| 22h ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $48 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $59 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $59 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $43 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $31 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $12 |