Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $839·Volume $7·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$300
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:33(1% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$839
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 1% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$300 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $132 |
| 3d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $2 |