Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $41·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes21%No79%
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$364
72h +$364
Smart money entered80¢80¢at 09:21(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$41
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$364, +$364 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 09:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $136 |
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $136 |
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $364 |
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $364 |