Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $5·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$611 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$995
72h +$995
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$5
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $611 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $611 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$995, +$995 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $57 |
| 6h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $31 |
| 6h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $134 |
| 7h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $384 |
| 7h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $384 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | No | 73¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $17 |