Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 17?
ActiveLiquidity $54·Volume $0·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
86% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
86%price86%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$147 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$310
72h +$310
Smart money entered81¢86¢at 06:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$54
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $147 riding on it.
The price of 86% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 86¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $147 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$310, +$310 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No smart trades recorded yet. | |||||