Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $5·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$341
Smart money entered47¢100¢at 05:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$5
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$341 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $77 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $17 |