Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $484·Volume $317·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:38Smart money exiting · $459 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$409
72h +$254
Smart money entered91¢100¢at 01:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$484
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$409, +$254 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $26 |
| 7h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $46 |
| 7h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $91 |
| 7h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $91 |
| 7h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $26 |
| 7h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $26 |
| 9h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $54 |
| 11h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $46 |
| 11h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $46 |
| 11h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 11h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 12h ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $13 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 23h ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 23h ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 23h ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $24 |
| 23h ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $220 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $220 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $2 |