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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 10?

ActiveLiquidity $484·Volume $317·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:38Smart money exiting · $459 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$409
72h +$254
Smart money entered91¢100¢at 01:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$484
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$409, +$254 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:38
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$26
6h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$26
7h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$46
7h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$91
7h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$91
7h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$26
7h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$26
9h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$54
11h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$46
11h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$46
11h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$20
11h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$20
12h ago241532532432MidSellNo100¢$13
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo99¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo99¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo98¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo98¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo97¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo97¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo97¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo97¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo97¢$5
16h agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo97¢$5
23h ago241532532432MidBuyNo96¢$10
23h ago241532532432MidBuyNo96¢$10
23h ago241532532432MidBuyNo97¢$24
23h ago241532532432MidBuyNo97¢$24
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo96¢$19
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo96¢$19
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo95¢$29
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo95¢$29
1d agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo95¢$5
1d agoZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMidBuyNo95¢$5
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo88¢$220
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo88¢$220
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo87¢$30
1d ago241532532432MidBuyNo87¢$30
1d ago241532532432MidBuyYes16¢$2