Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $41·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes33%No68%
Smart money leans
No
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$131 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$272
72h +$272
Smart money entered66¢69¢at 13:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 45h 56m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$41
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $131 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $131 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$272, +$272 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 66¢ | $131 |
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 66¢ | $131 |