Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $616·Volume $938·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,830
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:33(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$616
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,830 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $230 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $127 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $450 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $685 |
| 4d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $62 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $3 |