Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 16?
ActiveLiquidity $50·Volume $0·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes26%No74%
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$190 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$707
72h +$707
Smart money entered75¢80¢at 07:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$50
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $190 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $190 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$707, +$707 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $167 |
| 1h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $167 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 77¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 77¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $71 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $71 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $70 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $70 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 71¢ | $82 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 71¢ | $82 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $50 |