Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $31·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$384
72h +$384
Smart money entered75¢77¢at 10:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$31
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$384, +$384 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $376 |