Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $4·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$346 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$114
72h +$1,111
Smart money entered31¢100¢at 05:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$4
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $346 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 31¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $346 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$114, +$1,111 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0xae5b…ab1bMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $31 |
| 6h ago | 0xae5b…ab1bMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $14 |
| 6h ago | 0xae5b…ab1bMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $31 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $51 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $26 |